Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.155596 3.330878 3.516721 3.729484 3.967667 4.227692 4.535260
2025-09-14 2.833649 3.068925 3.331154 3.648706 4.028007 4.473622 5.048116
2025-09-21 2.596684 2.862546 3.169465 3.556794 4.043201 4.650015 5.493826
2025-09-28 2.458071 2.750114 3.097466 3.551994 4.149539 4.939323 6.126327
2025-10-05 2.422423 2.752857 3.158635 3.711370 4.477496 5.563933 7.372508
2025-10-12 2.346667 2.697182 3.137884 3.756789 4.651269 5.996430 8.452683
2025-10-19 2.277624 2.643214 3.112287 3.789010 4.805071 6.421290 9.668470
2025-10-26 2.238493 2.623784 3.128699 3.878364 5.052309 7.045209 11.564613
2025-11-02 2.169902 2.560528 3.079860 3.866498 5.136033 7.399042 13.067756
2025-11-09 2.072432 2.453458 2.963582 3.743905 5.022411 7.359589 13.543382
2025-11-16 1.994841 2.369768 2.875492 3.657322 4.959589 7.408080 14.315067
2025-11-23 1.942088 2.317455 2.828727 3.630238 4.995047 7.662197 15.926953
2025-11-30 1.873507 2.245142 2.756057 3.567863 4.980471 7.851283 17.714829
2025-12-07 1.805277 2.171240 2.678380 3.493641 4.939588 7.984491 19.569886
2025-12-14 1.738928 2.097472 2.597499 3.408899 4.870565 8.041565 21.277473
2025-12-21 1.699444 2.059684 2.567428 3.404494 4.953207 8.495248 26.271594
2025-12-28 1.701927 2.080975 2.625862 3.551503 5.355925 9.963925 48.584234
2026-01-04 1.677874 2.062841 2.623112 3.593318 5.551202 10.961331 92.411266
2026-01-11 1.652578 2.041645 2.614162 3.622959 5.725390 12.007845 339.292734
2026-01-18 1.640395 2.038954 2.633633 3.705058 6.034959 13.817987 NaN
2026-01-25 1.609157 2.006673 2.604266 3.694164 6.121675 14.797608 NaN
2026-02-01 1.558614 1.944005 2.523619 3.581464 5.940850 14.407307 NaN
2026-02-08 1.517235 1.894049 2.461904 3.501711 5.836113 14.375516 NaN